Who: Kansas City Chiefs, 12-4 vs. San Francisco 49ers, 13-3.
When: February 2nd, 2020, 6:30 PM.
Where: Fox TV, Miami Gardens, Florida, Hard Rock Stadium.
Betting Line: Kansas City favored by 1.5 points.
The Kansas City Chiefs finished the season 12-4, despite Patrick Mahomes missing two and a half games because of an injury. They have won 8 straight games.
The San Francisco 49ers started the season, 8-0, before they were hit with numerous injuries. They have won 5 out of their last 6 games. Make no mistake about it, these were the two best teams in the NFL, all-season long. Both organizations deserve to be playing for the Vince Lombardi Trophy.
This is a team that starts and ends with Patrick Mahomes and their passing game. The Chiefs averaged 281.1 passing yards per game, which was ranked 5th in the NFL and they converted on 3rd downs, 47% of the time. In 13 games, Mahomes completed 65.9 % of his passes, threw for over 4000 yards, had 26 touchdowns, only 6 interceptions and a passer rating of 105.3. Travis Kelce and Tyreek Hill could be the best Tight End and Wide Receiver combination in the NFL. They combined for 155 catches, 12 touchdowns and over 2,000 yards. KC does not run the ball often, but Damien Williams averaged over 4.49 yards per carry. In the AFC Championship game, Mahomes led the team with 53 yards rushing.
The Chiefs defense is underrated. They only gave up 19.7 points per game and had 45 sacks, 16 interceptions and had 13 forced fumbles on the season.
San Francisco is the only team in the NFL that can impose their will on offense and defense. Jimmy Garoppolo threw 8 times in the NFC Championship Game and the 49ers dominated the Green Bay Packers, 37-20. The 49ers offense looks simple, “ground and pound,” but it’s a complex scheme. SF was first in the NFL in putting players in motion, 2nd in rushing yards per game and 2nd in scoring. They averaged 29.9 points per contest. George Kittle is the best blocking and receiving TE in the NFL.
This defense had the best front 7 in the league. They finished 2nd, only giving up 281 yards per game and were the best in the NFL against the pass. This unit only gave up 169 passing yards per game. They can put pressure on opposing quarterbacks for all 4 quarters. Richard Sherman may have lost a step or two, but he is one of the smartest defensive backs to ever play the game.
The pressure to win this game is on both coaches. Andy Reid is one of only a handful of coaches to bring two different teams to the Super Bowl. Kyle Shanahan was the offensive coordinator for the Atlanta Falcons when they blew a 28-3 lead to the New England Patriots, in Super Bowl LI. Kyle’s father, Mike, won 2 Super Bowls as the head coach of the Denver Broncos.
The Formula for this game is simple. Mahomes needs to be the best player on the field for the Chiefs to win. Garoppolo just needs to manage the game. For the past two years, we have been hearing how Mahomes is ready to dominate the league and be the face of the NFL. It starts Sunday.
Kansas City 37… San Francisco 33.
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