Below is ESPN’s list of teams and their percentage to win the Super Bowl.
1) New Orleans Saints, 26.5%
2) Kansas City Chiefs, 25/3%
3) Los Angeles Rams, 17.1%
4) New England Patriots, 12.4%
5) Los Angeles Chargers, 8.5%
6) Indianapolis Colts, 4.5%
7) Dallas Cowboys, 3.3%
8) Philadelphia Eagles, 2.4%
10-6, Indianapolis Colts at 12-4, Kansas City Chiefs: (Saturday, January 12th, 4:35 PM).
Both of these teams are coming into this game with streaks. The Colts have won 10 out of 11 games. Chiefs head coach, Andy Reid, is 20-3 in games following a bye week.
The Colts beat an overrated Houston Texans team 21-7. Indianapolis did not score in the 2nd half of that game.
One could make the argument that Frank Reich could be the NFL’s Coach of the Year and Andrew Luck could be the MVP of the league. Luck has passed for over 4500 yards, 39 TD’s and had a QB rating of 98.7. Their offensive line has done a great job protecting him. They only gave up 18 sacks on the season. Marlon Mack is becoming their featured back and with TY Hilton and Eric Ebron, they have playmakers all over the field. The Colts defense is better than advertised, They are only giving up 21.5 points per game.
The Kansas City offense averaged 35.3 points per game and they averaged 425.6 yards per game. Both were ranked 1st in the NFL. Patrick Mahomes had one of the greatest seasons in the history of the NFL. He threw for 5,097 yards, had 50 Touchdowns and only 12 interceptions. Damien Williams has taken over the running back positions for Kareem Hunt. Williams doesn’t have a lot of carries but he is averaging 5.12 yards per carry. Wide Receiver, Tyreek Hill had 87 receptions, 1,479 yards and 12 touchdowns. Travis Kelce continues to be one of the best TE in the NFL.
I expect Reich and Luck to control the ball and use short passes and the running game to keep the Chiefs offense off the field. The Colts have been the best team in the NFL over the past ten weeks.
Take Indianapolis in an upset
Indianapolis Colts 31 Kansas City Chiefs 27
12-4, LA Chargers at 11-5, New England Patriots: (Sunday, Jan. 13th, 1:05 PM).
The Chargers started the season with a record of 1-2, they finished the year 11-2. They have won 6 out of their last 7 games.
The Patriots dynasty was considered to be over after week three. They also started the season 1-2.
LA’s quarterback, Phillip Rivers, is 0-7 against Tom Brady and the Chargers are 1-11 at New England since 1973.
On offense and defense, LA is the most complete team left in the playoffs. With Joey Bosa healthy they can disrupt any offense. Phillip Rivers finished the season with 4,308 yards, 32 touchdowns and 12 interceptions. Melvin Gordon continues to battle injuries. When healthy, he can rush for over 100 yards and catch 6 or 7 passes per game. Kennan Allen had 97 receptions and 6 touchdown receptions. LA used 7 defensive backs against the Ravens in their playoff win. I expect them to use 6 DB’s all game against Tom Brady’s passing offense.
Tom Brady did not have a great year but he had a lot of help. Rookie, Running Back, Sony Michel has 931 yards, 6 touchdowns and averaged 4.45 yards per rush. Julian Edelman had 74 catches and 6 touchdowns. The Patriots were ranked 4th in the NFL scoring 27.3 points per contest. Defensively this is a team that bends but does not break. New England was ranked 21st in giving up yards but only gave up 20.3 points per game.
This is a tough game to predict because on paper the Chargers are a better team. But, The Patriots are the only team in the NFL to go undefeated at home this year (8-0).
The Patriots haven’t been right all year long. Call me crazy but …I am taking both road teams in the AFC.
Chargers 26 Patriots 24.
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