My name is Jordan “SmartWater” Davis and I am primarily a cash game player. I have always been a big fan of cash games (head-to-heads, double-ups and triple-ups) and still think they can be highly profitable.
But to be a good cash game player, you need to understand the basics and avoid common mistakes. In particular, we need to remember that we don’t need to beat out the entire field. In these formats, half of the entries win, so we don’t need our lineup to have a “high ceiling.” Instead, we need our lineup to be full of value top to bottom and have a high “floor.”
Here are some of my top plays at each position for this week’s NFL action using FanDuel pricing. Note that these are not the only plays, just some of my personal favorites this week.
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Cam Newton ($8,600) – Newton is having an MVP like season and I expect him to add to his resume this week. Due to him being so involved in the TD production of this team via both the run and pass, Newton has one of the highest floors AND highest ceilings at the QB position. To prove this, he has had at least 16 FanDuel points in each of his last eight games and went over 21 fantasy points in 5 of those games. This week he is playing a sub-par Redskins pass defense where he should find good success. Newton is always going to get some yards via the run, which only increases his floor. He also has 6 rushing TDs on the year. The Panthers have a team total of 26 and Newton is about as safe as they come for cash games.
Derek Carr ($7,700) – I feel there are still people who simply don’t believe in Carr and I certainly am not one of them. This guy has been terrific this year, with a few bumps in the road earlier on in the season. In the past 4 games, he is averaging 306 passing yards and 3 TDs a game. This week Carr gets the Lions generous pass defense. Carr’s price simply does not reflect his production and I feel a lot of hit has to do with his name recognition. I see Carr absolutely feasting in this matchup and makes for one of my favorite cash game plays of the week.
Charcandrick West ($7,100) – Although his price is starting to increase (rightfully so), West is still too cheap. Most experts around the industry have West as a Top 2 option this week and FanDuel has him priced as the 11th most expensive RB. Any RB going against the Chargers defense (who have allowed the most fantasy points to opposing RBs this year) is worth a look and West is no different. He has had at least 24 touches in each of the last three weeks and I see no reason that changing this weekend. Plug West into your lineups and move on.
Devonta Freeman ($9,100) – Remember when there was a time we were questioning if Freeman had any skills? This guy has been nothing been sensational since taking over the starting RB job. He is very similar to Newton in the fact that he has both a very high floor AND ceiling. Freeman has scored at least 14 FanDuel points in each of his last seven games, and has gone over 29 fantasy points in 4 of those games. It is hard to find players that have both safety and upside, but Freeman is one of those rare players. Coming off a Week 10 bye, Freeman should be rested and ready to produce.
Amari Cooper ($7,200) – A common theme of my picks is writing up a QB I am high on and then shortly talking about one of his WRs. What do you know, here is a perfect example! Michael Crabtree has really become a popular fantasy play over the past few weeks, which has made Cooper the forgotten man. Due to Crabtree’s success, his pricing has risen, while the rookie’s has stayed relatively the same. While their prices are now similar, don’t be fooled, Cooper is the top WR option on this team. Since we are not getting the big discount on Crabtree, I think going to Cooper in this prime matchup is the way to go.
Danny Amendola ($6,100) – It is almost impossible to replace a wide receiver like Julian Edelman. Good thing for the Pats, they have about the best replacement possible. By saying this, I do not mean Amendola is this freakishly athletic, amazing WR by any means. However, Amendola’s play style and route running is very similar to Edelman’s. Tom Brady already has trust in Amendola and I expect him to look his way often this week against a good Bills pass defense. Plug him into your cash lineups this week and don’t try to be cute.
Greg Olsen ($6,400) – Although Olsen is not a wide receiver, he is Cam Newton’s favorite target in the passing game. If you are not paying up for Rob Gronkowski this week, Olsen for $2000 cheap is a great target. You know the targets are going to be there for Olsen every week and with the Panthers having a decently high total of 26, Olsen makes for a safe cash game play at a big discount from Gronk.
Defense / Special Teams
Seattle Seahawks ($5,400) – This pick should not be surprising to anyone. The Seahawks will be angry after last week’s poor performance and could not have asked for a better spot to bounce back. This week they will go up against Blaine Gabbert, who is making his second start of the season. Let’s keep this one short and sweet. The Seahawks are at home, going against a very poor 49ers offense, who have a projected team total of 13.5 real-world points according to Vegas ods. If you have the money to spend up at defense this week, Seahawks are clearly the top option.
Jordan “SmartWater” Davis is a professional daily fantasy sports player. He specializes in cash games such as H2Hs, 50/50s, double ups, and small-field leagues. He is the Community Manager at RotoGrinders.com and can be found on Twitter @ThatGuyNamedJoR.